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Red282
384797.8
50396.3
1676116.5
Blue274
1746100.7
4039100.3
171073.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3443060100200400500282274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#24
116.52.7
122.1119.4
Auto14.7
Teleop52.8
End49.1
red by 15.8
1746
#55
100.71.8
112.2110.4
Auto18.2
Teleop44.2
End38.3
Second
3847
#40
97.82.7
99.897.1
Auto13.0
Teleop42.0
End42.9
blue by 2.5
4039
#48
100.31.8
104.9103.1
Auto12.8
Teleop51.7
End35.8
Third
503
#58
96.32.7
100.397.6
Auto13.3
Teleop50.0
End33.0
red by 23.0
1710
#61
73.41.8
78.877.0
Auto7.2
Teleop39.9
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
69%Rotor oddsMissed53%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed