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Red338
3478105.7
261499.8
279191.9
Blue246
108093.1
164084.0
4143100.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309319100150200250350400450338246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#34
105.72.9
105.9108.8
Auto15.0
Teleop56.6
End34.1
red by 4.9
4143
#56
100.84.4
116.5112.1
Auto12.9
Teleop43.8
End44.1
Second
2614
#36
99.82.9
103.4106.3
Auto11.9
Teleop49.7
End38.2
red by 6.6
1080
#46
93.14.4
94.089.6
Auto9.7
Teleop49.8
End33.7
Third
2791
#41
91.92.9
85.388.2
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
red by 7.9
1640
#62
84.04.4
91.487.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.4
End40.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsEarned43%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
13%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed