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Red364
584287.0
1746100.7
1114137.3
Blue246
2767123.8
4143100.8
29283.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35434105001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000364246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.31.9
136.9138.8
Auto30.2
Teleop56.1
End51.0
red by 13.5
123.85.3
126.9121.6
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
Second
1746
#55
100.71.9
110.4112.3
Auto18.2
Teleop44.2
End38.3
Level
4143
#56
100.85.3
112.1106.8
Auto12.9
Teleop43.8
End44.1
Third
5842
#63
87.01.9
87.889.7
Auto20.6
Teleop44.2
End22.2
red by 3.8
292
#47
83.25.3
87.181.7
Auto9.7
Teleop46.0
End27.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
19%Rotor oddsMissed32%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
80%Pressure oddsEarned47%Pressure oddsEarned