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Red255
151182.0
108093.1
167591.5
Blue365
4188100.2
4028118.0
1619134.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733710100200400500600255365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1080
#46
93.11.2
89.688.5
Auto9.7
Teleop49.8
End33.7
blue by 41.2
134.31.6
123.7125.3
Auto25.4
Teleop66.3
End42.5
Second
1675
#57
91.51.2
92.191.0
Auto10.2
Teleop44.2
End37.1
blue by 26.6
4028
#15
118.01.6
124.7126.4
Auto19.1
Teleop50.3
End48.6
Third
1511
#67
82.01.2
90.589.4
Auto13.2
Teleop37.0
End31.8
blue by 18.2
4188
#18
100.21.6
92.093.6
Auto9.9
Teleop51.2
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
33%Rotor oddsMissed36%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed39%Pressure oddsEarned