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Red253
2481118.6
246883.0
279191.9
Blue287
195147.4
171073.4
225109.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173560100200400500600700253287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#16
118.63.9
127.3123.4
Auto27.3
Teleop55.4
End35.9
blue by 28.8
195
#4
147.43.1
144.2141.1
Auto33.7
Teleop68.5
End45.3
Second
2791
#41
91.93.9
92.288.3
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
blue by 17.2
225
#9
109.03.1
111.8108.8
Auto17.8
Teleop56.0
End35.2
Third
2468
#50
83.03.9
86.983.0
Auto16.5
Teleop43.8
End22.7
red by 9.6
1710
#61
73.43.1
77.073.9
Auto7.2
Teleop39.9
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
18%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
17%Pressure oddsEarned100%Pressure oddsEarned