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Red408
2337113.3
1732109.5
2451109.6
Blue259
21799.4
4143100.8
3824115.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253530100200400500600408259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.36.4
106.9113.3
Auto28.3
Teleop47.4
End37.6
blue by 1.9
3824
#44
115.25.2
121.3116.1
Auto16.9
Teleop51.8
End46.5
Second
2451
#19
109.66.4
101.5107.9
Auto28.6
Teleop48.8
End32.1
red by 8.8
4143
#56
100.85.2
105.9100.8
Auto12.9
Teleop43.8
End44.1
Third
1732
#31
109.56.4
103.9110.2
Auto16.0
Teleop56.6
End36.9
red by 10.1
217
#26
99.45.2
104.699.4
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End30.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsEarned25%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
97%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed