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Red282
384797.8
3478105.7
171073.4
Blue360
1114137.3
469117.3
2194100.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763890100200500600282360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#34
105.70.3
105.3105.7
Auto15.0
Teleop56.6
End34.1
blue by 31.6
137.30.0
139.5139.5
Auto30.2
Teleop56.1
End51.0
Second
3847
#40
97.80.3
97.798.0
Auto13.0
Teleop42.0
End42.9
blue by 19.5
469
#37
117.30.0
115.7115.7
Auto10.0
Teleop51.5
End55.9
Third
1710
#61
73.40.3
73.974.3
Auto7.2
Teleop39.9
End26.3
blue by 26.8
2194
#30
100.20.0
100.3100.2
Auto14.8
Teleop44.3
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed69%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
28%Pressure oddsEarned39%Pressure oddsMissed