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Red508
340111.3
1732109.5
2056148.0
Blue538
195147.4
1619134.3
2590107.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506473200300400600700800508538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#12
148.00.3
149.7150.0
Auto32.2
Teleop67.0
End48.8
red by 0.6
195
#4
147.40.8
145.5146.3
Auto33.7
Teleop68.5
End45.3
Second
340
#38
111.30.3
113.0113.3
Auto9.1
Teleop58.6
End43.5
blue by 23.0
134.30.8
132.4133.1
Auto25.4
Teleop66.3
End42.5
Third
1732
#31
109.50.3
111.2111.5
Auto16.0
Teleop56.6
End36.9
red by 1.6
2590
#20
107.90.8
106.0106.8
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3