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Quarterfinal 3-12017 IROC
Red305
594562.4
62387.5
2363112.0
Blue190
511588.3
451463.3
533891.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27026050100150200300350400450305190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.2
108.2109.4
Auto12.0
Teleop50.1
End49.9
red by 20.4
5338
#16
91.61.4
93.091.6
Auto11.8
Teleop41.3
End38.5
Second
623
#2
87.51.2
83.684.9
Auto12.0
Teleop45.2
End30.2
blue by 0.8
5115
#19
88.31.4
89.788.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End43.5
Third
5945
#12
62.41.2
58.559.8
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End28.7
blue by 0.9
4514
#29
63.31.4
64.663.3
Auto7.9
Teleop25.2
End30.2