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Qual 152017 IROC
Red145
189571.4
206839.9
533891.6
Blue265
2363112.0
108061.4
457569.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252248100150200300350145265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#16
91.65.3
104.298.9
Auto11.8
Teleop41.3
End38.5
blue by 20.4
112.00.7
107.4106.7
Auto12.0
Teleop50.1
End49.9
Second
1895
#13
71.45.3
77.672.3
Auto6.3
Teleop37.9
End27.1
red by 1.4
4575
#22
69.90.7
71.270.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.3
End31.3
Third
2068
#28
39.95.3
42.637.3
Auto2.1
Teleop28.1
End9.7
blue by 21.5
1080
#31
61.40.7
72.071.3
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed30%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed