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Qual 22017 IROC
Red250
594562.4
2537110.5
5338B46.4
Blue110
112362.8
173198.5
138990.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20832905001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000250110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#1
110.50.9
91.3→90.4
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End44.8
red by 12.0
1731
#9
98.513.5
105.9→92.4
Auto11.0
Teleop41.9
End45.6
Second
5945
#12
62.40.9
68.5→67.6
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End28.7
blue by 27.7
1389
#20
90.113.5
105.5→92.0
Auto5.2
Teleop39.7
End45.2
Third
5338B
Unranked
46.45.6
46.4→52.0
Auto3.4
Teleop31.6
End11.4
blue by 16.4
1123
#17
62.813.5
85.6→72.2
Auto4.5
Teleop32.5
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed