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Qual 232017 IROC
Red135
112362.8
346B35.0
61976.4
Blue235
583031.6
33965.2
457569.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1971270300400500600700135235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#23
76.42.9
74.6→71.7
Auto6.8
Teleop34.7
End34.9
red by 6.5
4575
#22
69.97.0
61.1→68.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.3
End31.3
Second
1123
#17
62.82.9
65.7→62.8
Auto4.5
Teleop32.5
End25.8
blue by 2.4
339
#6
65.27.0
46.3→53.3
Auto6.0
Teleop36.1
End23.2
Third
346B
Unranked
35.04.8
38.1→33.2
Auto4.3
Teleop24.1
End6.6
red by 3.4
5830
#7
31.67.0
22.3→29.3
Auto1.9
Teleop17.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed