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Qual 52017 IROC
Red190
188596.7
583031.6
141884.5
Blue115
511588.3
291428.3
108061.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682430100200300400500190115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#5
96.74.8
113.0→108.2
Auto12.7
Teleop53.1
End30.9
red by 8.4
5115
#19
88.39.6
91.3→81.7
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End43.5
Second
1418
#25
84.54.8
108.5→103.7
Auto9.8
Teleop35.3
End39.4
red by 23.1
1080
#31
61.49.6
93.1→83.5
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End24.4
Third
5830
#7
31.64.8
30.3→25.5
Auto1.9
Teleop17.1
End12.6
red by 3.3
2914
#26
28.39.6
49.7→40.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed