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Red350
5654109.2
458681.1
223092.1
Blue344
3339117.0
1574145.2
223184.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843930100200500600700350344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#13
109.20.7
109.4108.7
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End49.6
blue by 36.0
145.20.2
146.6146.4
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
Second
2230
#39
92.10.7
92.491.6
Auto12.8
Teleop43.9
End35.4
blue by 25.0
3339
#12
117.00.2
118.4118.3
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End51.3
Third
4586
#11
81.10.7
81.480.7
Auto9.5
Teleop43.1
End28.5
blue by 3.3
2231
#18
84.40.2
85.885.7
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End38.0