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Red484
223184.4
1574145.2
3339117.0
Blue205
5291103.8
673680.5
503889.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386278100200500600484205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.20.9
144.5145.3
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
red by 41.4
5291
#31
103.81.6
105.4103.8
Auto8.4
Teleop43.2
End52.1
Second
3339
#12
117.00.9
116.3117.2
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End51.3
red by 27.9
5038
#35
89.11.6
90.889.1
Auto11.7
Teleop42.8
End34.7
Third
2231
#18
84.40.9
83.784.6
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End38.0
red by 3.9
6736
#10
80.51.6
82.180.5
Auto7.0
Teleop31.7
End41.8