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Red430
308382.1
3211107.1
1577100.9
Blue302
595194.3
4590104.2
209692.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933120200400600800430302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.11.0
103.7104.7
Auto11.2
Teleop45.8
End50.2
red by 2.9
104.20.1
104.9105.0
Auto12.3
Teleop40.9
End51.1
Second
1577
#40
100.91.0
97.598.5
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End40.9
red by 6.6
94.30.1
94.995.0
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End43.8
Third
3083
#42
82.11.0
78.779.7
Auto6.8
Teleop41.0
End34.2
blue by 10.2
2096
#24
92.20.1
92.892.9
Auto12.7
Teleop44.7
End34.8