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Red255
303480.9
673877.1
331690.1
Blue351
1574145.2
3211107.1
5614101.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243660100300400500600700255351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#33
90.11.2
82.383.6
Auto12.1
Teleop41.0
End37.0
blue by 55.1
145.21.2
126.9128.1
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
Second
3034
#36
80.91.2
84.085.2
Auto9.3
Teleop41.3
End30.2
blue by 26.2
107.11.2
92.393.5
Auto11.2
Teleop45.8
End50.2
Third
6738
#41
77.11.2
65.466.6
Auto9.3
Teleop35.8
End32.0
blue by 24.1
101.21.2
109.2110.4
Auto11.5
Teleop48.8
End41.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsEarned