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Red291
1574145.2
338864.3
331690.1
Blue315
194281.3
571579.3
383592.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002270100400500600291315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.21.1
131.2132.3
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
red by 52.4
92.83.9
90.894.7
Auto4.4
Teleop46.6
End41.7
Second
3316
#33
90.11.1
85.386.3
Auto12.1
Teleop41.0
End37.0
red by 8.8
1942
#23
81.33.9
69.273.2
Auto10.4
Teleop38.7
End32.2
Third
3388
#38
64.31.1
58.759.7
Auto10.9
Teleop31.1
End22.3
blue by 15.0
5715
#19
79.33.9
65.969.8
Auto10.6
Teleop32.5
End36.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
5%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed