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Red210
5614101.2
674077.1
599082.7
Blue209
3211107.1
338864.3
5291103.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266264210220230240250260270280290210209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.24.5
104.6100.2
Auto11.5
Teleop48.8
End41.0
blue by 5.9
107.12.8
92.489.7
Auto11.2
Teleop45.8
End50.2
Second
5990
#34
82.74.5
92.688.1
Auto7.4
Teleop36.6
End38.8
blue by 21.1
5291
#31
103.82.8
98.795.9
Auto8.4
Teleop43.2
End52.1
Third
6740
#26
77.14.5
54.950.4
Auto6.7
Teleop38.6
End31.8
red by 12.8
3388
#38
64.32.8
59.756.9
Auto10.9
Teleop31.1
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed