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Red260
555460.8
674162.6
194281.3
Blue255
307581.6
194392.7
503889.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21024704006008001,0001,2001,400260255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#23
81.33.3
75.779.1
Auto10.4
Teleop38.7
End32.2
blue by 11.4
1943
#15
92.71.7
86.387.9
Auto6.5
Teleop38.8
End47.4
Second
6741
#30
62.63.3
62.766.0
Auto9.2
Teleop44.4
End8.9
blue by 26.6
5038
#35
89.11.7
75.677.3
Auto11.7
Teleop42.8
End34.7
Third
5554
#45
60.83.3
66.469.7
Auto11.4
Teleop33.8
End15.6
blue by 20.8
3075
#44
81.61.7
68.069.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.0
End35.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed