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Red290
157370.7
610478.5
5635106.1
Blue253
338864.3
598782.6
165795.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602110100300400500290253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5635
#14
106.11.6
99.8101.5
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End53.4
red by 10.5
1657
#37
95.73.1
81.784.8
Auto8.4
Teleop38.8
End48.4
Second
6104
#25
78.51.6
74.876.5
Auto10.3
Teleop34.8
End33.4
blue by 4.1
5987
#29
82.63.1
68.471.4
Auto11.5
Teleop36.5
End34.6
Third
1573
#43
70.71.6
65.767.3
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End24.9
red by 6.4
3388
#38
64.33.1
56.960.0
Auto10.9
Teleop31.1
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed