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Red205
458681.1
5614101.2
303480.9
Blue348
1690117.6
1574145.2
223184.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773610100200400500600700205348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.24.6
102.798.0
Auto11.5
Teleop48.8
End41.0
blue by 43.9
145.21.1
136.7137.8
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
Second
4586
#11
81.14.6
92.287.5
Auto9.5
Teleop43.1
End28.5
blue by 36.4
117.61.1
113.0114.1
Auto26.3
Teleop55.5
End35.8
Third
3034
#36
80.94.6
79.975.2
Auto9.3
Teleop41.3
End30.2
blue by 3.5
2231
#18
84.41.1
81.882.9
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End38.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed83%Pressure oddsEarned