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Red305
165795.7
194392.7
4320109.5
Blue240
595194.3
1577100.9
673877.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290272150200250350400450305240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#21
109.52.1
100.2102.3
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End47.6
red by 8.6
1577
#40
100.91.7
98.596.8
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End40.9
Second
1657
#37
95.72.1
84.886.9
Auto8.4
Teleop38.8
End48.4
red by 1.4
94.31.7
81.079.3
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End43.8
Third
1943
#15
92.72.1
87.990.1
Auto6.5
Teleop38.8
End47.4
red by 15.6
6738
#41
77.11.7
81.579.7
Auto9.3
Teleop35.8
End32.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed