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Red255
433895.2
165795.7
209692.2
Blue300
1937103.5
383592.8
5614101.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27832302004006008001,0001,200255300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1657
#37
95.71.0
86.985.9
Auto8.4
Teleop38.8
End48.4
blue by 7.9
103.50.4
110.9110.5
Auto12.3
Teleop56.5
End34.7
Second
4338
#28
95.21.0
100.599.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.4
End45.2
blue by 6.0
101.20.4
98.097.6
Auto11.5
Teleop48.8
End41.0
Third
2096
#24
92.21.0
83.082.0
Auto12.7
Teleop44.7
End34.8
blue by 0.6
92.80.4
91.991.6
Auto4.4
Teleop46.6
End41.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed