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Red316
3211107.1
308382.1
263086.9
Blue309
1574145.2
5654109.2
194281.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413570100200300400500600316309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.13.1
93.796.8
Auto11.2
Teleop45.8
End50.2
blue by 38.0
145.21.0
136.2135.2
Auto30.9
Teleop57.9
End56.3
Second
86.93.1
75.678.6
Auto8.5
Teleop46.7
End31.7
blue by 22.3
5654
#13
109.21.0
105.7104.7
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End49.6
Third
3083
#42
82.13.1
75.778.7
Auto6.8
Teleop41.0
End34.2
red by 0.7
1942
#23
81.31.0
82.081.0
Auto10.4
Teleop38.7
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed12%Pressure oddsEarned