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Red255
308382.1
616878.1
157370.7
Blue195
383592.8
555460.8
673877.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22225104006008001,0001,2001,400255195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#42
82.12.7
78.781.4
Auto6.8
Teleop41.0
End34.2
blue by 10.7
92.84.6
94.890.1
Auto4.4
Teleop46.6
End41.7
Second
6168
#17
78.12.7
71.774.4
Auto10.2
Teleop35.2
End32.7
red by 1.0
6738
#41
77.14.6
79.074.4
Auto9.3
Teleop35.8
End32.0
Third
1573
#43
70.72.7
64.567.2
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End24.9
red by 9.9
5554
#45
60.84.6
60.555.9
Auto11.4
Teleop33.8
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed