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Red230
223184.4
308382.1
1577100.9
Blue285
674162.6
263086.9
221288.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852310100200400500230285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#40
100.92.2
96.794.5
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End40.9
red by 12.8
2212
#16
88.13.9
84.288.1
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End43.1
Second
2231
#18
84.42.2
85.182.9
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End38.0
blue by 2.5
86.93.9
83.887.7
Auto8.5
Teleop46.7
End31.7
Third
3083
#42
82.12.2
81.479.2
Auto6.8
Teleop41.0
End34.2
red by 19.5
6741
#30
62.63.9
58.762.6
Auto9.2
Teleop44.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed