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Red50
157350.1
478441.5
158041.4
Blue195
169084.9
306550.7
595150.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109176020030040050195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1573
#12
50.16.9
28.621.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End21.9
blue by 34.8
1690
#23
84.94.1
67.271.3
Auto12.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
Second
4784
#25
41.56.9
33.126.1
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End12.7
blue by 9.2
3065
#24
50.74.1
39.543.6
Auto6.4
Teleop32.9
End11.4
Third
1580
#10
41.46.9
50.843.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End19.8
blue by 8.9
5951
#11
50.34.1
51.155.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed