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Red175
595150.3
599079.8
565481.0
Blue155
478441.5
331671.3
194438.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189107050150250300350400175155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#13
81.02.0
48.146.1
Auto6.2
Teleop35.0
End39.8
red by 9.7
71.34.7
62.467.1
Auto9.9
Teleop34.6
End26.8
Second
79.82.0
64.662.6
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End42.6
red by 38.2
4784
#25
41.54.7
26.130.8
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End12.7
Third
5951
#11
50.32.0
55.353.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End15.3
red by 11.9
1944
#34
38.44.7
24.128.8
Auto7.2
Teleop27.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed