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Red170
165749.7
331671.3
673748.7
Blue214
574763.9
157350.1
263048.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182132050100150200250300350170214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.9
70.969.0
Auto9.9
Teleop34.6
End26.8
red by 7.4
63.97.3
50.958.2
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End27.0
Second
1657
#33
49.71.9
45.844.0
Auto8.3
Teleop29.3
End12.1
blue by 0.5
1573
#12
50.17.3
42.950.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End21.9
Third
6737
#21
48.71.9
49.247.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.8
End22.0
red by 0.7
2630
#18
48.07.3
38.545.7
Auto9.2
Teleop25.4
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed