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Red185
194438.4
303455.2
193780.5
Blue195
308362.7
459069.0
458669.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135174050100200250300350400185195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.55.4
70.375.7
Auto10.1
Teleop38.9
End31.6
red by 11.1
4586
#17
69.53.7
56.760.3
Auto5.3
Teleop31.0
End33.2
Second
3034
#28
55.25.4
45.550.9
Auto8.0
Teleop35.2
End12.0
blue by 13.8
4590
#15
69.03.7
52.255.9
Auto1.0
Teleop29.7
End38.4
Third
1944
#34
38.45.4
17.522.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.0
End4.1
blue by 24.3
3083
#14
62.73.9
50.754.6
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End33.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed