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Red240
474463.4
561476.2
432069.6
Blue306
321177.3
1577100.6
307549.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21823405001,0001,5002,0002,500240306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.2
76.076.2
Auto11.9
Teleop32.6
End31.7
blue by 24.4
100.62.3
98.2100.6
Auto9.3
Teleop35.2
End56.1
Second
4320
#18
69.60.2
69.469.6
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End31.3
blue by 7.7
77.32.3
74.977.3
Auto8.9
Teleop33.3
End35.1
Third
4744
#19
63.40.2
63.363.4
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End27.4
red by 14.4
3075
#23
49.02.3
46.749.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.3
End16.4