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Red235
673641.0
5291100.1
503874.1
Blue218
194449.7
338862.7
194266.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2401740100200300400235218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.10.4
101.1101.5
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
red by 34.1
1942
#24
66.00.9
64.665.4
Auto9.8
Teleop38.2
End18.0
Second
74.10.4
75.275.5
Auto10.7
Teleop38.5
End25.0
red by 11.4
3388
#12
62.71.1
61.062.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End20.8
Third
6736
#26
41.00.4
42.242.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End11.2
blue by 8.8
1944
#16
49.70.9
48.349.2
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End5.6