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Red105
195427.7
321177.3
513539.6
Blue95
338862.7
674146.9
673641.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157141010020030040050010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.34.7
68.563.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.3
End35.1
red by 14.6
3388
#12
62.75.2
55.850.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End20.8
Second
5135
#11
39.64.7
46.942.2
Auto5.1
Teleop23.3
End11.2
blue by 7.3
6741
#14
46.95.2
38.933.7
Auto6.9
Teleop33.7
End6.3
Third
1954
#28
27.74.7
31.627.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 13.2
6736
#26
41.05.2
41.936.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed