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Red70
209663.9
614944.1
432069.6
Blue195
598753.4
563573.2
503874.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16015810020025070195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#18
69.611.7
46.534.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End31.3
blue by 4.5
74.12.5
54.657.1
Auto10.7
Teleop38.5
End25.0
Second
2096
#13
63.911.7
56.644.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.6
End30.7
blue by 9.2
73.24.2
45.950.1
Auto5.8
Teleop38.6
End28.7
Third
6149
#27
44.111.7
47.235.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.4
End12.1
blue by 9.3
5987
#21
53.44.2
51.455.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed