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Red200
432069.6
5291100.1
441633.7
Blue150
674146.9
561476.2
598753.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163139050100200250300350400200150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.12.9
89.692.5
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
red by 23.9
76.21.0
52.753.7
Auto11.9
Teleop32.6
End31.7
Second
4320
#18
69.64.8
34.839.6
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End31.3
red by 16.2
5987
#21
53.41.0
55.656.7
Auto4.0
Teleop27.3
End22.1
Third
4416
#17
33.74.8
27.131.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End7.8
blue by 13.2
6741
#14
46.91.0
27.328.3
Auto6.9
Teleop33.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed