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Red310
5291100.1
614944.1
561476.2
Blue145
513539.6
194266.0
563573.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193187100150250300310145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.18.2
93.7101.9
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
red by 26.9
73.23.0
75.272.2
Auto5.8
Teleop38.6
End28.7
Second
76.210.9
55.666.5
Auto11.9
Teleop32.6
End31.7
red by 10.2
1942
#24
66.02.3
63.260.9
Auto9.8
Teleop38.2
End18.0
Third
6149
#27
44.110.9
33.244.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.4
End12.1
red by 4.5
5135
#11
39.63.3
40.437.2
Auto5.1
Teleop23.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed