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Red170
441633.7
209663.9
610473.1
Blue295
555449.8
5291100.1
474463.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1702190100300400500170295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.12.1
74.272.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End36.3
blue by 27.0
100.10.8
101.9101.1
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
Second
2096
#13
63.92.1
58.156.1
Auto4.6
Teleop28.6
End30.7
red by 0.5
4744
#19
63.41.1
53.652.5
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End27.4
Third
4416
#17
33.72.1
35.833.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End7.8
blue by 16.1
5554
#22
49.81.0
46.145.1
Auto8.9
Teleop30.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed