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Red311
223146.8
1574123.5
4320106.4
Blue395
307562.9
209676.3
599084.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273224100150200250300350400450311395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.50.8
115.9116.6
Auto24.3
Teleop49.7
End49.5
red by 39.0
5990
#14
84.51.6
83.084.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.1
End38.9
Second
106.40.8
98.899.5
Auto14.8
Teleop38.1
End53.5
red by 30.1
2096
#13
76.31.6
74.976.5
Auto9.6
Teleop39.8
End26.9
Third
2231
#24
46.80.9
37.438.4
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End11.6
blue by 16.1
3075
#15
62.91.6
61.463.0
Auto10.9
Teleop28.3
End23.7