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Red190
158059.7
1577111.2
555471.7
Blue265
306579.3
267969.5
592879.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191410100200300400190265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.20.5
103.1102.6
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
red by 31.8
3065
#19Sur
79.38.0
45.253.3
Auto11.8
Teleop39.6
End28.0
Second
5554
#18
71.70.5
47.947.4
Auto12.5
Teleop33.3
End25.9
blue by 7.4
5928
#10
79.18.0
50.058.0
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End40.3
Third
1580
#23Sur
59.70.5
46.746.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.5
End32.3
blue by 9.8
2679
#11
69.513.4
49.362.7
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed