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Red235
303481.7
1577111.2
604954.4
Blue145
565498.4
158059.7
623037.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202177050100150250300350400235145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.23.8
100.6104.4
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
red by 12.7
5654
#16
98.42.2
81.078.8
Auto10.8
Teleop37.5
End50.2
Second
81.73.8
55.259.0
Auto9.9
Teleop37.3
End34.5
red by 22.0
1580
#23
59.72.2
41.439.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.5
End32.3
Third
6049
#29
54.43.8
32.636.4
Auto7.8
Teleop29.3
End17.3
red by 16.7
6230
#34
37.72.2
49.247.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed