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Red256
158059.7
616870.2
1574123.5
Blue155
308378.4
673859.9
307562.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2051860100300400500256155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.54.3
99.1103.3
Auto24.3
Teleop49.7
End49.5
red by 45.1
78.42.7
71.668.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End38.0
Second
6168
#22
70.24.3
51.155.3
Auto9.1
Teleop30.8
End30.3
red by 7.4
3075
#15
62.92.7
51.148.5
Auto10.9
Teleop28.3
End23.7
Third
1580
#23
59.74.3
42.146.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.5
End32.3
blue by 0.3
6738
#26
59.92.7
57.154.4
Auto7.8
Teleop32.4
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed