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Red142
307562.9
458687.4
158059.7
Blue145
195442.0
592879.1
474465.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189166050100250300350400142145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.42.3
75.673.3
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End42.3
red by 8.3
5928
#10DQ
79.11.1
65.964.8
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End40.3
Second
3075
#15
62.92.3
53.951.6
Auto10.9
Teleop28.3
End23.7
blue by 2.5
4744
#20
65.41.1
63.662.5
Auto7.1
Teleop32.9
End25.4
Third
1580
#23
59.72.3
46.944.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.5
End32.3
red by 17.7
1954
#27
42.01.1
31.430.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed