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Red150
1577111.2
223146.8
623037.7
Blue189
1574123.5
674057.1
194353.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223226150200250300350150189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.24.5
108.6104.2
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
blue by 12.3
123.52.3
108.7106.4
Auto24.3
Teleop49.7
End49.5
Second
2231
#24
46.87.5
61.153.7
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End11.6
blue by 10.3
6740
#21
57.12.3
55.453.1
Auto4.5
Teleop31.5
End21.1
Third
6230
#34
37.74.5
42.437.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.6
End8.2
blue by 16.2
1943
#30
53.93.9
50.046.1
Auto8.9
Teleop31.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed