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Red330
616870.2
565498.4
2230103.5
Blue333
1574123.5
458687.4
555471.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274272150200250300350400450330333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#17
103.53.0
98.9101.9
Auto14.4
Teleop48.7
End40.4
blue by 20.0
123.55.0
110.8115.8
Auto24.3
Teleop49.7
End49.5
Second
5654
#16
98.43.0
97.2100.2
Auto10.8
Teleop37.5
End50.2
red by 11.1
87.45.0
76.681.6
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End42.3
Third
6168
#22
70.23.0
63.966.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.8
End30.3
blue by 1.5
5554
#18
71.75.0
71.075.9
Auto12.5
Teleop33.3
End25.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed