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Red120
194353.9
307562.9
321190.9
Blue215
513539.2
267969.5
209676.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1881510100300400120215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#12
90.94.8
77.372.5
Auto10.9
Teleop34.2
End45.7
red by 14.5
2096
#13
76.32.9
63.966.9
Auto9.6
Teleop39.8
End26.9
Second
3075
#15
62.94.8
49.044.2
Auto10.9
Teleop28.3
End23.7
blue by 6.6
2679
#11
69.54.0
45.349.3
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End31.5
Third
1943
#30
53.96.5
47.541.0
Auto8.9
Teleop31.7
End13.3
red by 14.7
5135
#33
39.22.9
39.642.5
Auto4.9
Teleop29.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed