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Red255
464955.2
221284.3
267990.8
Blue265
595177.2
563596.5
574764.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242246100150200300350400450255265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.80.5
90.991.4
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End42.8
blue by 5.7
96.50.7
94.695.3
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End49.0
Second
84.30.5
84.484.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.8
End43.0
red by 7.1
5951
#13
77.20.7
75.376.0
Auto11.0
Teleop37.4
End28.8
Third
4649
#20
55.20.5
55.255.8
Auto6.7
Teleop38.0
End10.5
blue by 9.7
5747
#16
64.80.7
62.963.6
Auto8.9
Teleop32.8
End23.1