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Red231
466150.1
194382.4
333990.2
Blue165
673668.8
610472.2
475754.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223206100150250300350400231165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#11
90.20.5
85.886.2
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
red by 17.9
72.20.7
72.972.2
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End36.3
Second
82.40.5
78.078.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
red by 13.6
6736
#12
68.80.7
69.568.8
Auto7.8
Teleop26.2
End34.8
Third
4661
#24
50.10.5
45.746.2
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1
blue by 4.3
4757
#22
54.50.7
55.254.5
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End15.8