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Red191
673668.8
263070.4
338858.8
Blue210
610472.2
574764.8
466150.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178173100150200250191210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#21
70.41.3
47.248.5
Auto7.8
Teleop34.1
End28.6
blue by 1.8
72.22.9
78.281.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.6
End36.3
Second
6736
#12
68.81.3
56.457.7
Auto7.8
Teleop26.2
End34.8
red by 4.0
5747
#16
64.82.9
53.456.3
Auto8.9
Teleop32.8
End23.1
Third
3388
#15
58.81.3
62.764.0
Auto11.5
Teleop31.0
End16.3
red by 8.6
4661
#24
50.12.9
35.638.4
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed