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Red185
563633.6
574764.8
1690107.4
Blue273
614969.1
459090.2
194382.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184174100150200250185273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.40.2
86.786.5
Auto21.9
Teleop45.0
End40.5
red by 17.2
90.24.8
64.068.8
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
Second
5747
#16
64.80.2
56.356.1
Auto8.9
Teleop32.8
End23.1
blue by 17.6
82.44.8
57.462.2
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
Third
5636
#18
33.60.2
30.129.9
Auto4.9
Teleop31.1
End-2.5
blue by 35.5
6149
#14
69.14.8
45.350.0
Auto8.4
Teleop33.5
End27.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed